GDPR Notice

GDPR Notice:
Please note that Google, Blogger, Adsense and other Google services may be using cookies and doing whatever they do. Please take notice that by using this blog you give your consent to those activities.

Wednesday, May 06, 2020

Will US Dollar collapse? What will be an alternate currency? What about Gold?

At this point I am not sure Dollar collapse is closer. 

A dollar collapse needs to have three points - 
  1. The fundamental weakness in USD (we have this more or less) 
  2. a World not reliant on US consumer demand 
  3. A strong challenger

Last 2 conditions are not met - at least not yet. Euro has its flaws and needs to iron those out before it can become a challenger. Yuan will not be a challenger. SDR is closest option we have but there are issues there too. I am not confident of the blockchain currencies that exist presently.

IF Dollar is really stressed we may go back to a gold-peg rather than other currencies. In fact, gold peg may be quite a good Fed policy for the short term.

If we correct the SDR structure then eventually even the US would love to have a 2-level currency system. 


Previously I have discussed views on US Dollars here:
Dollar, the International Currency system and the Ghosts of Connally

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.